@predictdotfun announced Season 1 is nearly over and said it is looking forward to sharing what's next.
[1]← Narrative indexOct 25 – Oct 31 UTC Every claim links to the posts behind it01 02 03 04 6 posts on X 1 week
Microtrend / Rank 05 / Week of Oct 25 – Oct 31
$PREDICT tokenomics goes live: 7% Season 1 pool with 35% instant claim or 12-month vest as Binance Futures pre-market shows $1.5B FDV
Peak / day25tracked accounts
Peak dayWedOct 28 · busiest day in the panel
Rest of X / peak day—not measured outside the panel
Cited claims4source links retained
Market—no token attached
Attention
Who was talking, day by day
Tracked paneldistinct tracked accounts / day
What happened
@predictdotfun announced that Season 1 is nearly over and released $PREDICT tokenomics: 7% of the 1B supply goes to Season 1, with a choice between an instant claim of 35% of allocation or a 12-month vest for the full allocation. At the $1.50 Binance Futures pre-market reference price, the Season 1 pool is worth about $105M, and one point would be worth about $0.08 instantly or $0.22 vested if 470M eligible points split the pool pro rata (that point total is an estimate). $PREDICT was trading on Binance Futures pre-market at around $1.5B FDV, and @krishna__web3 noted a Polymarket market giving it a 61% chance of crossing $1B FDV one day after launch.
Why it matters
The claim-vesting choice is a live decision point for farmers ahead of a TGE that has been anticipated for roughly 45 weeks, and the Binance Futures pre-market pricing gives the first external valuation reference for a prediction-market token with Binance backing.
Observed reaction
Cautiously bullish and focused on the claim decision; some accounts are calculating point value while others are still watching from the sidelines.
Spread
Where it started and who carried it
- First seen
- Oct 25, 14:54 UTC by @0xkyz
- Accounts
- 20 tracked · 45 elsewhere on X
- Communities
- general ct (6), base farcaster (6), memecoins solana (2), prediction mkts (2)
- Key accounts
- @zamaneth7, @kenz_1604, @maviskrypt, @erbas321, @trathoa
Explainability
Evidence register
$PREDICT was trading on Binance Futures pre-market at around $1.5B FDV, per posts by @krishna__web3 and @williamm168.
[1][2][3]@predictdotfun released $PREDICT tokenomics: 7% of the 1B supply goes to Season 1, with a choice between an instant claim of 35% of allocation or a 12-month vest for the full allocation.
[1]At the $1.50 reference price, the Season 1 pool is worth about $105M, and 1 point is worth about $0.08 instantly or $0.22 vested if 470M eligible points split the pool pro rata.
[1]Angles
- Technical breakdown of the claim-vesting tradeoff: 35% instant vs full allocation vested 12 months, using the $1.50 reference price to model point value.
- Airdrop-farming reality check: compare $PREDICT's 7% Season 1 pool with other major TGEs and ask whether 45 weeks of farming paid off.
- Prediction-market sector narrative: Binance Futures pre-market listing + potential Upbit listing as a signal for where prediction markets are heading.
Formats in use
- quote-tweet
- tokenomics breakdown
- thread
Risks
- Do not present the 35% instant vs full-vest choice as a recommendation; it is a user decision with financial consequences.
- Avoid implying any guaranteed allocation or outcome from Binance Futures pre-market pricing.
- Do not reproduce unverified point-supply estimates as fact.
- Some posts may be undisclosed paid promotion or coordinated shilling for the token event.
Observed content
Most-engaged posts
🚨 $PREDICT TGE IS GETTING CLOSER 45 weeks of farming and we’re finally approaching the finish line @predictdotfun is trading on Binance Futures pre market at around $1.5B FDV Binance shows a total supply of 1B $PREDICT Let’s assume 450M total points including early airdrop,Open on X →
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AI becomes more useful when it understands the context behind an action, not just the data itself. That is one of the ideas behind @BluwhaleAI. By connecting onchain activity, digital identity, and AI, Bluwhale is working toward a layer that helps turn scattered data into somethOpen on X →
Hey based fran... here's what went down on Base in the last 24h: ■ 𝗕𝗮𝘀𝗲 𝗹𝗮𝘂𝗻𝗰𝗵𝗲𝗱 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗧𝗿𝗲𝗻𝗰𝗵𝗲𝗿 𝗚𝗿𝗮𝗻𝘁 𝗣𝗿𝗼𝗴𝗿𝗮𝗺 - @base is giving $1,000-$5,000 grants to people who lead Base meme communities, run Base trading communities, or make content about BaOpen on X →
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Free money to everyone @Polymarket gives a 61% chance of $PREDICT crossing $1B FDV one day after launch But $PREDICT is already trading on Binance Futures at around $1.5B FDV The market is already showing what could be possible With Binance backing, a potential Upbit listingOpen on X →
History