@jimbo_finance posted the week's first macro preview on 2026-10-26 at 06:35 UTC, saying the Fed decision is Wednesday and rates are expected to hold at 3.75%–4.00%, with attention on Warsh's guidance on future hikes.
[1]← Week of Oct 25Oct 25 – Oct 31 UTC Every claim links to the posts behind it01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 6 posts on X 1 week
Microtrend / Rank 09 / Week of Oct 25 – Oct 31
Crypto Twitter braces for Wednesday's FOMC rate decision: hold at 3.75%–4.00% expected, Warsh's 2:30pm presser is the real trigger
Peak / day8tracked accounts
Peak dayWedOct 28 · busiest day in the panel
Rest of X / peak day—not measured outside the panel
Cited claims121 dropped by automated checks
Market—no token attached
Attention
Who was talking, day by day
Tracked paneldistinct tracked accounts / day
What happened
@jimbo_finance posted the week's first macro preview on 2026-10-26 at 06:35 UTC, saying the Fed decision is Wednesday and rates are expected to hold at 3.75%–4.00%, with attention on Warsh's guidance on future hikes. The FOMC rate decision was scheduled for Wednesday, October 28, with a 2:00 PM ET announcement and a 2:30 PM ET Warsh press conference, according to @cryptorover and @btcbarbells. @cryptorover told followers on 2026-10-28 that the Fed's current and forecast range was 3.75%–4.00%, that a hike would send markets down hard while hold or cut would rally markets, and that huge volatility was expected.
+ 9 more in the evidence register ↓Why it matters
For a crypto-native audience, a Fed hold is not a non-event: the FOMC statement and Warsh's press conference set the risk backdrop for BTC, ETH and every narrative trade into year-end. Traders spent the week positioning around the 2:00 PM statement and 2:30 PM presser rather than around any crypto-native catalyst, showing macro still dominates crypto price action at this point in the cycle.
Observed reaction
Split and jittery rather than directional. The large accounts (@cryptorover, @ashcrypto, @tedpillows) framed it as a binary volatility event — hike dumps, hold pumps, dovish Warsh pumps, hawkish Warsh dumps — while smaller accounts (@btcbarbells) mocked the attention it gets and others (@fredmartinezst) argued the tokenization trend matters more than 25 basis points.
Spread
Where it started and who carried it
- First seen
- Oct 26, 06:35 UTC by @jimbo_finance
- Accounts
- 6 tracked · 9 elsewhere on X
- Communities
- bitcoin (2), eth defi (1), macro rwa (1), memecoins solana (1)
- Key accounts
- @ashcrypto, @cryptorover, @tedpillows, @bulltheoryio, @gurgavin
Explainability
Evidence register
The FOMC rate decision was scheduled for Wednesday, October 28, with a 2:00 PM ET announcement and a 2:30 PM ET Warsh press conference, according to @cryptorover and @btcbarbells.
[1][2]@cryptorover told followers on 2026-10-28 that the Fed's current and forecast range was 3.75%–4.00%, that a hike would send markets down hard while hold or cut would rally markets, and that huge volatility was expected.
[1]@ashcrypto said on 2026-10-28 that markets were pricing a 93.4% chance of a pause and 6.6% chance of a hike, and framed the outcome as dovish Warsh = pump, hawkish Warsh = dump.
[1]@tedpillows claimed on 2026-10-27 that the last FOMC decision saw $BTC bottom the exact same day and then pump 16% in a week.
[1]@btcbarbells contrasted the FOMC rate decision dropping tomorrow at 2pm with a random post from President Trump, asking which moves the market more.
[1]@fredmartinezst argued that the bigger transformation in global finance — DTCC tokenization, SWIFT shared-ledger work, and Ripple, Stellar and Canton positioning — is not waiting for Powell or the FOMC.
[1]@bastiaan_eth described the FOMC rate decision as the day-before event while noting Bitmine ($BMNR) closed up 3.20% and calling the largest Ethereum DAT stabilizing.
[1]@pudgy_xd listed the FOMC rate decision on 10/28 as part of a big macro week that also includes Q3 GDP and Core PCE on 10/29 and earnings from Google, Microsoft, Amazon and Apple.
[1]@jimbo_finance's macro week preview also flagged PCE expected at 3.6%, GDP growth around 3.2%, and a BOJ rate decision Friday expected to hold at 1.25%.
[1]@andreeatomoiag3 said on 2026-10-28 that bitcoin consolidation remained likely ahead of the FOMC rate decision and described a pump followed by a fire dump.
[1]@andreeatomoiag3 said on 2026-10-26 that the Nasdaq had declined in recent sessions and, until the FOMC rate decision, price was likely to consolidate below or retest the 21 SMMA, with relevance to $BTC.
[1]Angles
- Countdown card: what to watch at 2:00 PM ET (statement) and 2:30 PM ET (Warsh presser), with the 3.75%–4.00% hold expectation and the 93.4%/6.6% pause/hike pricing both labeled as claims by @ashcrypto.
- Historical setup post: use @tedpillows' claim that BTC bottomed the day of the last FOMC and pumped 16% in a week as the template, and ask followers what this FOMC pattern should look like.
- Multi-asset cheat sheet: Fed decision Wednesday alongside GOOGL/MSFT earnings, Thursday PCE and Q3 GDP, and Friday's BOJ decision — the full macro week as one graphic.
Formats in use
- macro calendar thread listing the week's events
- breaking-news alert post with the exact decision time and scenarios
- quoted-post commentary on an FOMC preview
- screenshot of charts or odds with a short take
- meme-style joke comparing the Fed to Trump posts
Risks
- Do not present the 93.4% pause / 6.6% hike split from @ashcrypto, or the expected PCE 3.6% and GDP 3.2% figures from @jimbo_finance, as our own data; attribute each to the account that posted it.
- No price predictions or advice: avoid saying what crypto will do after the decision. Frame scenarios as what accounts said, not as forecasts.
- The event time and expected hold are widely repeated but not confirmed by a primary Fed source in these posts; hedge with 'expected' and 'according to posts' where appropriate.
- Some posts tie the Fed story to tokens ($BMNR, $ETH, a Solana address); that is promotional-adjacent commentary, not verified market data, and should not be amplified as an investment angle.
Observed content
Most-engaged posts
🟩 GREEN DAY FOR $BMNR !👇 Tom Lee’s $ETH treasury Bitmine closing the market with strong 3.20% in green. One day before the FED rate decision, the largest Ethereum DAT is stabilizing. I think after we get the uncertainties like rate decision and midterms away, markets can pumOpen on X →
Everything is priced in for the big week! 10/28 FED rate decision. Markets widely expect rates to remain unchanged. 10/29 U.S. Q3 GDP (Advance) : initial reading of economic growth and resilience heading into Q4 Core PCE Inflation Index Also, major AI companies earnings repoOpen on X →
🚨 BELOVED $BMNR & $ETH HOLDERS, HERE ARE THE MOST IMPORTANT EVENTS THIS WEEK!👇 🔷 Tuesday - September New Home Sales data 🔷 Wednesday - October Fed rate decision, Microsoft $MSFT and Alphabet $GOOGL earnings 🔷 Thursday - September PCE inflation and Q3 GDP data, Amazon $AMZOpen on X →
📈 MACRO WEEK AHEAD Wednesday Fed Decision, Rates expected to hold at 3.75%–4.00%. Watch Warsh’s guidance on future hikes. Wednesday $GOOGL + $MSFT Earnings, Focus on AI spending, cloud growth and profitability. Thursday $AMZN + $INTC + $SNDK Earnings, Another major test for AOpen on X →
🔥 bitcoin:native Update Consolidation remains likely ahead of the FOMC rate decision. We had the pump… and then the FIRE dump. 🔥📉 Today’s energy still looks fragile, but taking tomorrow’s energy into account, a pump later in the day cannot be ruled out entirely. 👀📈 TheOpen on X →
📉 #Nasdaq Update — and why it matters for $BTC The correlation remains quite relevant for #Bitcoin. As anticipated, the Nasdaq has declined in recent days under the influence of several short-term bearish cycles. Until the FOMC rate decision, the price is likely to remain belOpen on X →
History